Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Northern Illinois @ Minnesota: What we learned

This young Gopher fan found better things to watch than the 4th Qtr
Photo by JT
Another gut wrenching loss.  What can you say that hasn't already been uttered in an overheard expletive laced tirade on the post-game walk to your car. Another glorious evening for football at The Bank, made ruinous by poor run blocking, and even poorer tackling. Sigh.  Losing at home is not a habit I'd like to see develop.  But it's happening.  At least last year, we respectably defended our home turf with a winning record (4-3), with respectable losses to Cal and Wisconsin, and Illinois in a headscratcher.  We seemed to own the night with the Air Force and Michigan State wins with some timely (if not lucky) bounces that went our way.  That all seems so distant now.  Truly, my confidence in the Brewster regime is all but dead.  Only an improbable run in the conference schedule will restore it to at least measurable levels.

Now NIU is no pushover MAC team, but they certainly aren't USC either.  Yet they came in and pretty much did the same damn thing to us that SoCal did.  Ran the ball down our throats.  Life seemed so much simpler 2 weeks ago, when we could just blame our pass defense on the inexperience of Christyn Lews and James Manuel (or conversley the suspension of Theret and the injury to Royston).  Now that we've been gashed in both the pass and run, the defensive troubles seem so much more, well, troubling.  The Huskies managed 34 points on the Gophers, in only 23 minutes of possession.  Disgraceful.

Clearly NIU head coach Jerry Kill saw something on our tape vs. USC that he liked.  I'm guessing it was the way our linebackers seem to always be 1 or 2 steps out of position, leaving major running holes wide open. Going into this game I thought we were going to get 'Dante Warren-ed' to death by a better and more experienced Chandler Harnish. Turns out, they didn't even need him to do much more than be a caretaker for the offense, letting Chad Spann carry the load.  In that limited time NIU had the ball, Spann managed to rack up 223 yards on just 15 carries.  Yeah, that's nearly 11 ypc.  You'd think Barry Sanders or Gale Sayers was lining up across from us with those kind of numbers. And Harnish's legs? Well, he seemed to be the one player we actually did scheme for, and his runs were held in check. But that isn't  worth much when the halfback lining up behind him can just get you 10 yards a crack.
This looks like a stout  bunch in the Maroon.  Key word - 'looks'.
Photo by JT

At the beginning of this season, I really did believe that the front 7 of this team would continually improve and ultimately become the strength of this defense.  They certainly appear to be an athletic enough group.  Chalk their performance up to inexperience and poor coaching?  I suppose so, but my confidence in Cosgrove is virtually gone, to say nothing of Brewster.  Last year I feld like Cosgrove had really maximized the talent on our defense, making them a cohesive unit that kept us in games all season.  This year, I am really at loss for what has happened so far, and how things will progress/regress into th future.  Perhaps all the Nebraska and Wisconsin Cosgrove-haters  who warned us had it right?  
 
On offense, OC Horton again tried valiantly to establish the run, but simply could not. Our longest run from scrimmage was a measly 12 yards, and the one explosive run we did muster (Bennett's 3rd quarter sprint to the east endzone) was called back on a hold. NIU's defensive rotations (6-man line shifts) seemed to keep them from getting worn down later in the game, and kept running room difficult all game.  And once again, Weber was serviceable and didn't do anything to cost us the game (although that desparation shovel pass was an absolutely dreadful decision).  He padded his stats again late in the game on some nice drives that ultimately just closed the margin of victory for NIU.  MarQueis again looked the part of a potential All-Big Ten WR (maybe Dave Mona wasn't insane for claiming that?). 
Thumbs down Gophers, you let my boys down
Photo by JT
 
But I need to stay positive here. There were some aspects about last Saturday's gameday that I did like:
1) The weather. Just about a perfect evening for football. Fireworks at the half were nice too.
2) My entire family taking in a Gopher football game (as we like to do as a full group annually), including my two boys getting to go to their first game at The Bank!
3) The Ski-U-Brat. Tasty, but the brat itself needs to be a bit larger, to match the scale of the bun.
4) Fresh mini donuts. Sweet and delicious. 
5) "Goldy's Groove" in the 3rd Quarter. Attention TCF Bank Stadium Operations Manger(s) - keep this feature. I'm all about anyway we can incorporate Earth, Wind, and Fire in to gameday.  And 'Let's Groove Tonight' did inspire some excellent fan dancing.  How about next week we rock Funkadelic's 'One Nation Under a Groove'?
6) MarQueis Gray. He's real good at WR. He's not fumbling the ball. And Weber is finding him  I like it. 

So there were plenty of reasons to enjoy myself. Just not football. Well, except for MarQueis Gray.  He can actually play football.

Fireworks. I enjoy them even when losing.  Photo by JT
So how is this team going fare against Northwestern?  The 4-0 Wildcats haven't won a single game convincingly against less than impressive opponents. Like most of our games versus the Mildcats, I expect a shootout.  And tomorrow we should have our first of several weekly opposing views from a fan of our current Big Ten opponent.  This week, my friend and Northwestern alum, TKL will be putting together a preview of his own of the game. He's also using my tickets, as I can't get up to the Twin Cities for a 4th straight weekend. Before you scoff at my selling season ticket seats to the enemy, remember this is a Northwestern guy, not some Badger jackhole or Hawkeye d-bag.  And Northwestern alumni will always beat the rest of the Big Ten alums in 'gentlemanly-like behavior' at all sporting events.  Except for that one NU fan who got ejected from Welsh-Ryan Arena last year for yelling at Ed Hightower.  But then, who hasn't yelled at Ed Hightower?  So no worries, he'll behave himself and be respectful.  And he's graciously agreed to share with us what he thinks of our new digs and the upgraded 'college football on campus' atmosphere.

And what did we learn?  I learned that we can't even stop a MAC team's running game.  I learned that our offensive line cannot create running lanes against a MAC team.  But I also learned that the most beautiful of autumn nights cannot quite be ruined by gross incompetence.   And finally, I learned that I learned that having your wife and kids smiling at the game only goes so far, and that eventually you just need to abandon your family and grab a beer.  Thanks for being there Mr. Omar Douglas Redux.  That Surly Furious on tap at Stub and Herbs we had went a long way to soothe my nerves.  And as my favorite beer, Surly Furious shall become the first of our Crew's Brews we highlight, as we suffer through this season and find different beers to ease the pain (stay tuned for more of our GEHG's Crew's Brews). Ethanol is needed to survive our Big Ten season and brutal remaining home schedule.  Beer is the vehicle.


Friday, September 24, 2010

Desperation Setting In? Here Come the Huskies: NIU @ Minnesota Preview

If this week's game preview post title seems a bit cocksure, don't misinterpret.  Desperation is indeed looming, and could set in fully if Northern Illinois beats us at home.  And the NIU Huskies are a pretty decent MAC team with a pretty decent quarterback (more on him later) that could easily send this season into a nightmarish death spiral. A decent that might not even be slowed by the winning of a few 'trinket games' later in the year.

And as if this game wasn't enough for the team to focus on, now there seems to be an undercurrent of dissent among at least one player.  WR/KR Troy Stoudemire made it public by his recent Facebook declaration that he is no longer a Gopher.  One assumes this was caused by Brewster's indefinite suspension of Troy for 'conduct detrimental to the team'.  The team has said nothing officially about Stoudemire's departure, and apparently he's not yet spoken to the staff formally about leaving 'the U'.  Maybe he's just blowing off steam over the internets?  If so, its too bad he missed the halftime public service announcement at last week's USC game about 'going to far' with social networking.

Whatever the case, the loss of our #3 receiver and top kick return man shouldn't be our primary concern going into this game.  That honor goes to Husky QB, Chandler Harnish.  Harnish, who wasn't the Week 1 game starter under center, lost the QB battle to DeMarcus Grady in training camp.  But after a rough 3 INT opener at Iowa State and a wacky low-angle throwing motion, Harnish was given the start in Week 2 vs. UND.  No stranger to starting, Harnish has led the Huskies at QB in 18 games over the last 2 years. And in just two games this seasonb(UND and Illinois), the junior QB rolled up some impressive numbers -- 350 yards in the air and nearly 300 on the ground.  Uh oh - dual threat QB. Dante Warren, but with more experience, comes to mind.  And that smells like trouble.  I presume this time around we'll actually gameplan for a QB with legs.  Perhaps worst of all, he sort of has that bad-ass, focused, football-is-my-life, Eric Decker-esque look to him.  Great.
Chandler Harnish means business
Harnish is not alone in the backfield either, as he can turn around and hand the ball to Chad Spann, a 5'9" 198 lb senior halfback.  Spann has averaged nearly 80 yards per game, and already broke a 79 TD this season.  Statistically, none of the Husky receivers stand out - none have even 100 yards receiving thru 3 games, so Harnish is doing a nice job spreading the ball around, but his wheels are the bigger concern.  Its clear then, that stopping Harnish and Spann will be paramount if a Gopher win is to occur.  To many 6-7 yard runs on 1st or 2nd down will put the Gopher defense in a bad spot, and allow the Huskies to keep the D off-balance, keeping them guessing if Harnish will be throwing or running in short down and distances.  Watching some of Harnish's highlights from the Illini game, they have some designed QB runs that look very effective, and some short delayed passing routes over the middle that will keep our linebackers busy.

The NIU defense has allowed fewer yards than their offense has gained, but that hasn't translated into wins for them.  They have been gashed for 175 yards per game on the ground, and look like they could be a team susceptible to the Gopher's run game.  Illinois racked up over 300 yards on the ground last week, so that bodes well for us and controlling the clock.

I have little faith that our defense will be disciplined enough to stop Harnish all game, and so I think the key this week lies in keeping him off the field by dominating the time of possession.  If the offensive line can play well and Bennett is back and healthy, this is the most likely route to victory for the Gophers.

This Saturday's game is an opportunity for the Gophers to get up off the ground, dust off our pants, wipe the blood of our nose, and play like a real Big Ten team.  That means putting down the Huskies with the same type of ball-control offense we saw versus the Blue Raiders in the opener.  Make no mistake though, NIU was a preseason pick to win the MAC West division and are eager to beat a big conference opponent before moving on to their conference schedule.  They also have a recently infirmed coach to play for and rally around.  Coach Jerry Kill was recently hospitalized for dehydration, and also had an undisclosed surgery earlier in the season, though he will be on the sidelines of TCF Bank Stadium this Saturday night.

Originally, I had called for this game to be the let-down loss on the schedule, after stealing a win from USC.  Obviously, that scenario didn't play out.  But based on the Chandler Harnish film I watched this week, I am still VERY skeptical that we can win this game.  Harnish looks to be a dangerous player, the kind that our defense may not be experienced enough to stop.  If the RB Spann was the focal point of the NIU offense, I'd be much more confident.  Unfortunately he is not, and Harnish will likely shred us as he can pass on the run, or just tuck it and take off with deceptive speed and good vision.  Ball control with Bennett, Eskeridge, and Kirkwood is needed to limit Harnish's touches. Can the Gophs control the clock for 45 minutes out of 60 again to gain the victory? I fear not.


Prediction: Minnesota 24, Northern Illinois 31

Gopher Player of the Game: Duane Bennett - 24 carries for 145 yards and 2 TDs
Huskie Player of the Game: Chandler Harnish - 15 carries for 110 yards rushing and 2 TDs, 14-20 for 120 yards and 2 TDs



Wednesday, September 22, 2010

USC @ Minnesota: What we learned

The GEGH crew sets up in the Ski-U-Mah Lot - photo by JT
This Saturday gave us yet another beautiful day at The Bank, and with a quality if not villainous opponent in USC coming to town, most Gopher fans that attended seemed able to put aside last weeks horrid loss and rally behind the Gophs for another game.  A win over the rule breakers from SoCal would go some significant distance in helping rerail the season.  The pre-game tailgating scene in the Ski-U-Mah Lot was terrific, and there were plenty of smiling faces, back slapping, and booze to go around.  Gopher Tailgate Nation was out in force again, and happy to be there, despite our recent woes.  Our GEGH group assembled a 3-State alumni contingent, and had a terrific time eating, drinking, and carousing.  I was, in particular, happy to spread the joy that is Cuervo 1800 Reposado with my colleagues (listen up Cuervo, you can advertise on here for free as far as I'm concerned).

With the exception of one irritable dude wearing a nice Chris Darkins, Jim Wacker-era jersey who rebuffed us for our "Darkins! Darkins! Darkins!" chant, most everybody rolling thru the lot appeared to be in good spirits (whatever, the guy obviously didn't know who #44 actually was). Most were expecting the worst and hoping for the best.  It seemed like almost a given that the Gophers would be down multiple touchdowns early, and it would get worse from there.  I was scoffed at by many for my bold (but ultimately foolish) 31-30 Gophers victory prediction.  And during the game, there seemed to be some in attendance that were actually rooting for a blowout loss, so they could feel more validated in their "Fire Brewster Now!" position.  But more importantly, the vast bulk of fans that attended the game were clearly here to support the Maroon and Gold for better or worse.
The ladies love themselves some Gopher Tailgating - photo by Mar

The game itself was pretty entertaining, at least for 3 quarters.  The Gophers hung tough for much of the game, over came some ill-timed mistakes (and flukey bad luck).  But it could only last so long. USC had the superior talent, and eventually found a way to overcome their own assemblage of mistakes (penalties and interceptions).  I read somewhere out there in the blogosphere that this game felt like the Cal game last season.  I'm inclined to agree.  Everyone's favorite 'close personal friend' of a columnist, Sid Hartman suggested that the loss hinged on 3 plays.  I'd suggest that it was really just two plays though; 1) The Jewhan Edwards facemask on the 3rd and long sack, and; 2) rather than the 97-yard kick return TD, the Gophers complete inability to answer that counter-punch with a score of their own following it (another 3-and-out).  That 3-and-out was particularly damning, as it came AFTER Kirkwood gained a tough 8 yards off right tackle on 1st down.

But for once this season, I was not completely mortified by the pass defense.  Yes they gave up 2 big TD passes, but for them to hold Matt Barkley, a shoe-in top 5 NFL draft pick, to under 200 yards in the air and pick him off twice was an accomplishment.  No doubt Kyle Theret's return to the starting lineup was a big reason why.  Unfortunately, once Kiffin figured out that running repeatedly with big back Allen Bradford was the way to go, we were already down and had to play catchup.  My worry earlier in the week had been proven out.  Recent history indicates that these bigger running backs seem to give us trouble, and Bradford and his line had their way with the Gophs through the latter stages of the game.  This was culminated by the 56-yard touchdown run Bradford had for USC's final score, where he dashed down the north sideline completely untouched from start to finish.  Obviously, the run defense really struggled, especially up front later in the game, hardly getting a hand on Tyler or Bradford on several runs.
Barkley wings his first TD of the game - photo by JT

The offense had its moments, but the running game disappointed me.  Bennett tweaked his ankle early and had no impact on this game.  DeLeon was who he always seems to be, a ball-secure first guy without great burst or vision.  Donnell Kirkwood had a few nice runs, but they came too infrequently to allow for the ball-control that Brewster and Horton were clearly seeking with their gameplan.  What really bothered me though wasn't the perceived 'over-commitment' to the run, but rather the lack of creativity and variability in the run calls.  After re-watching the game, I noticed that about 80% of the runs seemed to be between the tackles, and most often just simple dives.  No counters, very little trap blocking, and we didn't see much of the shovel and screen passes either.  Was there something in the scouting report that told the staff that running up the gut was the way to make hay against this squad?  Not sure, but we sure did like the dive play.  The other thing that struck me was that none of our 3 running backs seemed to really even look to make a cut or

Weber again completed a little over half his throws, and did his usual of making just enough good plays in between the bad ons to keep me from being completely frustrated with him.  His interception right before the half was ridiculously bad, as was best served to just throw the ball out of bounds (has Weber EVER done that?) even if it was 3rd down. MarQueis and McKnight looked pretty good when Weber managed to find them.  If McKnight can make that over the outside shoulder catch on the sideline routinely, then he needs to run that route more often in games.

Favorite play on offense:  The great catch in my corner of the endzone by McKnight was the BEST play of the day for the Gophs, but it wasn't my favorite.  That honor goes to the Kirkwood 15-yard run at midfield that might have resulted in a TD had he been able to put a move on his closest defender.  The left side of the O-line opened up a HUGE hole (see photo), and Donnell had lots of green in front of him.  Instead he initiated contact and bowled over the safety.  At the time (early 2nd quarter), I liked the message it sent. In hindsight, he's gotta come up with a Playstation move to freeze that guy.
Look at that hole - how did Kirkwood NOT score - photo by JT

Favorite play on defense:  Manuel's interception of Barkley to end USC's opening drive of the 3rd quarter.  Anthony Jacobs applies the pressure up in Barkley's grill, and Manuel comes over to the TE down the seam and snatches the wobbler out of the air to send the momentum back to the Gophers.

So what did we learn in this, the 3rd week of a still young (yet already exhausting) season?  Many things as usual, perhaps the most important being that tailgating for an afternoon game is preferably to the 11AM starts.  No need to get up at 7AM.  You can leisurely get up at a sane hour and make your way down to Stadium Village with plenty of tailgating hours in front of you. I learned that MarQueis Gray appears to be the go-to receiver for Weber already.  What that means for MG's QB career is unknown, but right now Gray looks like he might become too valuable at WR to become our starting QB if (and only if) Moses Alipate is game-ready in 2011.   I learned that Kyle Theret was definitely missed, perhaps more than I wanted to believe.  I learned that Horton still really does want to keep running the ball, but not in any real creative fashion.  And finally, I learned that handing out a free magazine in the student section is a bad idea.  How we didn't get penalized for all the mags that landed on the field (even during play) was beyond me.  Chalk that one up to having a Big Ten ref crew, I guess.

NIU preview will be up late tomorrow/early Friday, and although I called for the let down loss after USC, I feel a win coming on before plunging into the Big Ten season.

Friday, September 17, 2010

Fight On! (Gophers) The Season Depends On It: USC @ Minnesota Preview

Of all the teams that could be coming into The Bank this Saturday, and after the absolute failure we witnessed last week, the chance to play the University of Southern California might be just the medicine this program needs to get well.

Why?  Well, they're an D-I Single A team for starters (hey-oooo).  They have strong national name recognition, and have recently been one of the preeminent teams in all of college football. They are not particularly well liked by the rest of the nation, nor is Lane Kiffin, their supposed wunderkind new head coach.  The casual Golden Gopher fan (you know, the folks who showed up late, and left at the half last week) expects nothing but a blowout and the total annihilation of the Gophs.  The good news is, #18 USC is nowhere near as tough as they have been over the last decade, and has struggled in both of their two wins this season.  Nowhere to go but up, eh?

Winning this game gets the season back on the rails in a quick way, but still keeps the burner under Brewster to show us it wasn't an anomaly, all while the 'fire Brewster' talk can legitimately (and fairly) continue.  Losing meets the expectations of the masses and the 'fire Brewster' talk can still legitimately continue.  So in a sick sort of way, win or lose - the outcome this Saturday will probably be satisfying in one way or another to all shades of Gopher fans.

USC's most recent national accomplishment is garnering an array of NCAA sanctions for 'lack of institutional control', including a 2-year ban from post-season play, the loss of 30 scholarships over 3 years, and their National Championship victory in the 2005 Orange Bowl versus Texas (one of my all-time favorite college football games apparently never happened now) is now vacated. Oh yeah, and they even lost MN's own Seantrel Henderson (arguably the top HS football recruit in the nation), who dissed the Gophs before committing to USC, and then subsequently dissed the Trojans for the Miami Hurricanes, post-SC sanctions dole out.  Good times.

Will Snoop be in the hizz-ouse Saturday?
AP Photo/K.Djansezian
OK - but we all know USC's off the field woes.  But the real question is, can the Gophers somehow, someway beat this team coming in?  The Trojans are loaded with talent with nothing much to play for but pride. USC has played Hawaii (on the road) and Virginia (at home), and have been less than impressive in both games.  The Hawaii's run n' shoot offense kept in place beyond the departure of June Jones, gave SC all kinds of trouble, and they piled up nearly 600 yards of offense in a shootout with 85 total points.  The home opener for SC vs. Virginia was almost the inversion of their previous game,  a 17-14 defensive slugfest that required the Trojans to recover an onside kick to preserve the win.  In both games USC was outgained by their opponent, and racked up over 100 yards in penalties.  So iffy defense and a lack of discipline seems to be their modus operandi thus far this season.  These problems make it appear to me that USC can be quite vulnerable if they cannot correct these issues.

The Trojan offense, led by sophomore stud, Matt Barkley has been pretty damn impressive this year though, already completing 38 passes at nearly a 66% clip, to go with 7 touchdowns to no interceptions.  Combine that with a strong and athletic line, and Barkley could put up passing numbers that would make Dante Warren's look like chump change.  USC has two primary halfbacks Marc Tyler and Allen Bradford, and both are large (230 lbs+).  This worries me as well, given that we struggled with a similar sized back last year in John Clay, but with a much more experienced defense.  Combine that size of the runners with an athletic and speedy line that can get out in space and block, and it could be big trouble, especially running outside.  The Trojan receivers are good, but not as terrifying as they have been in years past.  Ronald Johnson and Robert Woods will be the primary beneficiaries of Barkley's throws.  The Barkley's offense would appear to be the strength of the team, and must be slowed to give the Gophers any chance of winning.

To counter this offensive unit, its hoped that the return of senior's Kim Royston and Kyle Theret at the safety positions will be a major upgrade for the Gopher's defense.  My concern is that there will be some rust from the lack of live game work for these two, but that said, I'd rather have them on the field than Lewis and Manuel right now.  The front seven should be solid against interior runs, lead by the Smash Brothers (Edwards and Kirksey), but I fear running on the edge will rip off big chunks of yardage, given the issues we had with contain against USD.  To win this game, I think the Gopher D will have to create at least two turnovers and allow none within their own territory.

SoCal's defense has had its difficulties. MV of FBT does his usual superb job of breaking down the USC defense personnel, so I won't elaborate too much.  Lane's daddy (Monte) runs the defense for him, and he's dealing with a lot of inexperience on the DL and backfield.  Frankly, we're seriously out coached here with a coordinator of Monte Kiffin's calibur on the sideline, so we'll need to rely on USC's inexperience leading to mistakes Minnesota can capitalize on.

And the Gopher offense - well, its going to take another appearance of 'Good Web' to give us a chance, as we need him to extend drives on 3rd downs and keep Barkley safely on the sidelines.  I was a little disappointed in Horton last week, as his claim that the Gophers would not abandon running the ball early rang hollow. I felt he went away from really pounding the ball at the Coyotes when the Gophers got down a couple scores.  Part of that was justified though, as our defense couldn't stop them, and we needed to get points somehow.  This week, I'd expect us to run 2 out of 3 times the first couple possessions , but if our defense can't afford us the luxury of a couple USC 3 and outs (or at least short drives) to let the O-line and the RBs get lathered up, we'll be presumably passing early and often.  And hey, the formerly suspended Dom Alford is now back to active status, but guess what?  My favorite Gopher freshman, Ed-O (Ed Olson), will be getting the start at left tackle.  His clamping onto his opportunity to start and not letting go has really impressed me, and I'll be watching him closely to see how he fares against these Pac-10 DEs.

Ultimately, predicting the outcome of this game comes down to is what you believe will happen on this Saturday.  USC might beat Minnesota 99 out of a 100 matchups, but if that one win comes up, then all the analysts and experts are wrong.  I was excited when we got SC on the schedule, and I remain so.  Its a great opportunity for this young Gopher team to prove something (or conversely, get their asses handed to them, and learn something).  Early this season in the 'Calling our Shot' post, I predicted a win for this game, and I've chose to stick with that, despite what we saw last week.  Up until this afternoon, I was all but convinced the Gophs would have a valiant start to the game, but ultimately be crushed in the 2nd half.  Then I watched this yesterday afternoon:

 This clip of a Thursday post-practice interview of Kid Kiffin swayed me back to my pre-season position.  Does this sound like a coach who has his team where he wants it for this game.  By his own admission, he states that "we've got a long ways to go" and that they need to understand this is not a game they can take lightly.  He sounds concerned and its already Thursday.  My usual ridiculous positivity, although diminished, can last at least through pre-game tailgating this Saturday.  After that, all bets are off.  Gophers jump on USC early, and then hang on by a thread.  Pics and post-game to come next week.  GOOOOO GOPHERS!

Prediction: Minnesota 31, USC 30

Gopher Player of the Game: Adam Weber - 24 for 32 for 245 yards and 3 TDs
Trojan Player of the Game: Marc Tyler - 18 carries for 120 yards and 2 TDs



Tuesday, September 14, 2010

South Dakota @ Minnesota - What we learned (and where it went wrong).

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Gary Tinsely fills the 'A-Gap', all other defenders? Occupado. - photo by JT 
Why do the football gods hate me so much?  Why?  After torturing me on another beautiful Saturday at The Bank, 24 hours later, they decide to take away an improbable opening road win from my Honolulu Blue and Silver by robbing Calvin Johnson of a game-winning TD catch.  Oh, and the cherry on top was the loss of Matthew Stafford for 4-6 weeks.  I don't know what I did to deserve this, but it must have been pretty bad.

As much as I wanted to write up my postgame 'What we learned' post on Sunday evening, I just couldn't bring myself to sit at the computer and think about this game. I needed some time to forget and feel sorry for myself (and watch the game a second time on the DVR).  Well, that and I was  pretty tired from the trip back home.

First off, let's give credit where credit is due.  South Dakota came to play, and executed their offense very efficiently, despite of a lack of experience at several positions, including QB.  This did not appear to be the team that got bullied for 60 minutes versus Central Florida.  Second, let me step out and state that I was pretty much wrong about everything in my prediction of this game (although I did come very close to the Gopher's point total).  No establishing the the run.  No imposing of our will.  No carries for Kirkwood (WTH?). No wearing the opponent down and dominating the 4th quarter.  And most obviously, no win.  Instead there was panic on offense.  Panic to score, thanks to the ineptitude of the defense.

As I walked into TCF Bank Stadium at around 10:50 AM that morning, I felt pretty good (aside from the 2 and a half pounds of eggs, cheese, sausage, bacon, and potatoes courtesy of  Sally's Game Day Skillet Scramblers).  The sun was shining, the student section was actually filling up, and people seemed pretty excited about the 1 and 0 Golden Gophers.  But by about the 8 minute mark, the mood was already starting to sour.  The Gophers started out nicely, and looked the part of the more dominant team.  Stoudemire got us rolling with a nice opening kick return across the fifty, and although the first drive was a little more pass-heavy than expected, it stalled but the result was still 3 points.  On defense, things started solid as well. Keanon Cooper got a TFL to open the game, and the Gophers held on a 3rd and short to force a quick 3 and out.  Chris Ganious was being contained and it looked like South Dakota would have to rely on their QB to generate some offense.  That ended up being the worst thing that could have happened for the Gophers.  Coyote QB, Dante Warren was up to the challenge, and Cosgrove, Lee, and Brewster couldn't scheme up anything to stop his legs or his arm.  Two flag routes and 11 minutes later, the Coyotes were up 14-3, and everybody was scratching their heads as to how this could be happening.
Tiree drops Six -  photo by JT

But the Gophs responded, coming right back with a beautiful 49-yard TD pass on the post to Troy Stoudemire.  And on the ensuing USD possession, Michael Carter picked off Warren.  The momentum swing was on.  Or so it seemed.  From there out, for every terrific play Minnesota made on offense was pretty much matched by the Coyotes.  Post Carter INT, Tiree Eure dropped a go-ahead TD pass (see photo on right), and Weber missed a wide open MarQueis Gray on a comeback by sailing the ball 12 feet over his head.  Ellestad completed the trifecta of poor execution with another wide left FG miss.

From this point the defense really started to struggle.  Missed tackles and blown coverage being the main issue. Having already seen the RB screen once and getting fooled, the Gophs again got suckered by the clear path to the QB, this time yielding a 26-yard TD scamper.  Now fairly shocked late in the 2nd quarter, I couldn't think things could go much worse until I saw Weber cough up the ball on a nice scramble, well past the 1st down marker when he could have slid.   Down 21-10, it was a nightmare half to be sure.  I can only imagine what Brewster's halftime speech must have been like.
Still, the game was in reach, and even though a blowout win was a distant memory, there was a feeling that with some key halftime adjustments on defense,  we could dominate the second half and salvage an ugly victory.  Once again my faith was misplaced.


Much to my surprise, the students showed up in force - photo by JT
 Things only got worse on defense, and the rest of the way the Gopher offense had to frantically try and put enough points on the board to close the gap.  The Minnesota defensive backs gave massive cushions to the USD receivers, and were regularly beat on quick slants and short comebacks that extended drives.  And while the defense seemed capable of stopping Ganious on the ground (16 carries for just 8 years), they couldn't track down Warren on bootlegs, nor could they cover any deep routes down the middle.  Essentially all USD had to do to score was run just enough to keep Minnesota honest, and then just strike downfield or roll out on a naked boot.  And that 4th and short that Warren scored on untouched?  Chalk that one up to Cosgrove for overcommitting the defense to the run up the middle.

And as admirable as it was to see Jeff Horton and Adam Weber do their damnedest to get the Gophers to close the gap, the defense couldn't produce enough stops to get the Gophers that last possession they needed to pull ahead.  Brewster's decision to try and convert a 4th and 2 with 12 minutes left on the USD 24 was perhaps questionable, but the kick was going into the wind, and Ellestad has been money to miss from outside of 40 yards all season (0 for 3).  This kind of talk is, of course, pretty damn ridiculous though, when you're talking about needing to play catchup against an FCS opponent (to say nothing of giving up nearly 500 yards of total offense to an FCS opponent).  And so there we were in the final quarter, doing things like lining up for a fake onside kick, making illegal forward laterals, and other such signs of desperation that I hadn't expected to see on this day.  That Sally's Skillet probably should have come back up right around then, but I somehow spared my lovely wife the indignity.  Thank goodness this game was in as beautiful and alcohol-free a setting as it was.  Had I been in the 'Dome, I surely would have been heaving into a urinal trough.  The day and the stadium sent this defeat from 'truly unbearable' to just straight-up 'unbearable'

So what did we learn from this loss?  First and foremost, I found that my seemingly boundless faith in Brewster hath been shaken.  And while he shouldn't be fired midseason (simply not fair to the kids playing for him), you have to wonder now what it will take for him to save his job for the final year of his contract.  Just 2 games into the season, and I'm already more confused by this team than in any other year of the Brewster era.  What are we?  Talented, but horribly inconsistent is what comes to mind. That, or just bad, with a few respectable playmakers.  Neither is a formula for consistent winning.  And now to restore my faith in Coach Brew, it will take a near miraculous remainder of the year (for me, I'd define that as winning 2 of 3 trophy games, and beating Northwestern, Purdue, and Illinois).  The likelihood of that happening would appear slim, but I'll live on hope for now.  Barring a season finish like that, Brewster and the 'U' need to part ways.  There.  I've said it, and quantified it (although I'm not hard and fast on things here, I'll trade a USC or Ohio State win for that rinky-dink Governor's Bell any day of the week.  I also learned that MarQueis Gray is ready for prime time as a receiver, (at least against a I-AA teams).  And last I learned just how much we really do miss Theret and Royston.
GBG, Nate, and 2Mutch sadly reflect on the game - photo by JT

So let me be positive here to close out.  There were a number of good (albeit small) things that can be taken out of this game (believe it or not).
1) The O-line couldn't have pass protected much better.  Web had all day to set up and throw from the pocket
2) For the second game in a row, the Gophers largely avoided the drive-killing penalties that wracked them in previous seasons
3) Favorite play on offense - the trips left formation where Weber found MarQueis down the seam for a nice score in the 3rd
4) Favorite play on defense - Gary Tinsley finally diagnosing the halfback screen and snuffing it out for a loss (3rd time's the charm, right?)
5) The express lanes to get in the stadium at Gates A and E were just that - express.  I walked thru in under 15 seconds with 10 minutes to gametime.  Amazing how quick a line can move when you're not patting down every man, woman, and child.

And now USC comes rolling into town next Saturday, no doubt licking their chops at the prospect of 1,000 yards of total offense.  At this point, I'm just hoping the Gophs can score 30 to match SoCal's 70.  Blowout or no, we'll be getting our tailgate on next week in the Ski-U-Mah lot and enjoying ourselves.  And maybe, just maybe - the gods of football owe me one for last weekend?

Stay tuned for the USC @ Gophers preview to be posted on Friday morning.

Thursday, September 9, 2010

A Coyote in the Coffers - SoDak in The Bank: South Dakota @ Minnesota Preview

Here we go again with another FCS team.  Fans of most BCS conference teams don't sweat games like these, but the Gopher's recent history with teams from this subdivision hasn't given us much to be overly confident about.  Our last several efforts against I-AA teams have been pretty dismal.  In fact, you have to go all the way back to middle of the Grinnin' Glen Mason Era to find the last game we utterly dominated a non-FBS team (Southwest Texas State, 42-0 in 2002).  Ugh.

Luckily, last week's win over MTSU on the road has me feeling pretty good about the new look Gopher offense, and what we can accomplish against lesser foes.  Sucking up 75% of the clock by grinding out the run has that effect on me.  Not everybody was all that impressed with our opening road win though (thanks for drawing conclusions directly from a box score, Tom Dienhart). That's fine though, we're not looking for approval from the nation media right now, just another win.

So now South Dakota rolls into town this weekend, with nothing to loose and everything to gain.  They got buried 38-7 last weekend on the road at Central Florida, in a game where they only gained 220 yards in total offense, and allowed nearly 500.  By all accounts, UCF did what they wanted with the ball, and controlled all facets of the game.  Statistical bright spots for the 'Yotes in the opener were junior running back, Chris Ganious - who rushed for 89 yards and the lone TD on a 4.5 ypc average, and former Gopher (transfer) junior SS Shane Potter's career high 16 tackles.

Offensively, the Coyotes start an inexperienced QB behind a bigger, physical O-line.  Quarterback Dante Warren, who got his first career start last week, was secure with the ball against UCF, and did not turn the ball over. Chris Ganious, a smallish back at 5'8" and 185 lbs, is expected to be the primary ball carrier to have his name called on the PA this Saturday.  Ganious has had a productive collegiate career, rushing over 1,500 yards and 14 TDs in his first two seasons.  This is the guy the Gophers must stop, first and foremost.  It's not clear how much the USD coaching staff wants Warren to throw yet, (only 19 attempts in a blowout loss), so I'd anticipate Ganious will be getting the ball early and often, to set up the play-action pass.

On defense, the Coyote's don't have a whole lot of film to look at from the Gophers besides run plays (and more run plays - 67 to be exact).   The gameplan for South Dakota's D is likely to be very simple. Stop the runaway train that is time-of-possession - load up the box, and stop the run.  The aforementioned Shane Potter will integral to that game plan, coming up from the strong safety position as the 8th man.

Charlie Coyote - Courtesy www.usd.edu
So can South Dakota jump back off the mat, wipe their bloodied nose, and hold their own against the Gophs?  The answer is a resounding, 'no', provided the execution in the run game we saw against MTSU is there.  I have to believe that Brew and Horton have no interest in generating any more film of the playbook for USC than they have to.  Ditto for Cosgrove and Lee on defense.  So I expect to see a pretty vanilla game plan, very similar to last week's.  Pound the rock and wear down the defense.  Horton continues to assert that they won't go away from the run too quickly if its not successful, and until I see otherwise, I believe him.  So more heavy doses of vitamin B(ennett), E(skeridge), and K(irkwood). And if the lead gets built up, I'd expect Kirkwood to get the bulk of the carries down the stretch to keep Bennett's legs fresh for USC.  And perhaps with that presumptuous lead, we'll also see MarQueis under center for some work later in the game (crossing fingers).

As far as the D goes, look for tackling and play diagnosis to be improved, as I'd guess these were items focused on in practice all week. I'd like to see somebody in our front 4 get a sack this week, but if not, I'm confident I'll see multiple TFLs on runs from them.  Presuming the secondary is without Royston again this week, I'm going to watch Lewis and Manuel closely to see if there is improvement there.  Overall, our team speed on defense should be enough to overwhelm the Ganious et al, provided they remain under control and stay disciplined.

On the starting lineup front, it sounds as if the LT job will be Ed-O's (Ed Olson Jr.) again this week, as Alford is still suspended for violating team rules.  And it appears that Theret will remain suspended as well.  Royston's status is still up in the air as to whether he's healthy enough to take the field yet.  Jon Hoese, who lost his father this earlier this week is also a question mark. Stay tuned, I imagine we'll hear on the status of these guys soon.

So how does this all play out? Well, KFAN's resident Gopher basher, Dan Barreiro suggested that a win by less that 4 TDs would be an 'embarrassment'.  So if my prediction holds true (27 point win, see below) - expect the usual ill-informed jokes and bits we usually hear from The Fan.  At the beginning of this week, I was feeling a little nervous about this game, given our recent history with FCS teams.  Nothing lasts forever though, and my attitude started to swing after listening to Brew's post-practice Q&A (thanks MV), and researching USD's game against Central Florida.   I think starting the season out on the road had this team focused from the get-go, and the low expectations of the national media are a continuous motivator going forward.  Gophs roll on to 2 and 0.  And then let USC prep-week begin.

Prediction: Minnesota 41, South Dakota 14

Gopher Player of the Game: Donnell Kirkwood - 18 carries for 130 yards and 2 TDs
Coyote Player of the Game: Chris Ganious - 25 carries for 105 yards and 1 TD

Sidenote:  According to Gophersports.com , a number of improvements in stadium operations are going to be implemented this year (think express entrances, new concessions, etc).  Look for a quick review of how things are at The Bank in year 2 embedded within the next "What We Learned" post.

Friday, September 3, 2010

Minnesota @ MTSU - What we learned

This kid knows a win when he sees it - photo by JT

Well, that's one win in the books.  Halfway to our Sports Illustrated prediction!

And it felt good too.  There wasn't too much of a bad aftertaste with this victory.  The game wasn't as close as the score indicated, and there were a lot of positives. Before the game started, there was a little nagging worry in the back of my head about how the team would start the season on the road against a respectable opponent.

But the Gophers came out and punched the Blue Raiders right in the mouth on the opening drive.  In the opening play, Bennett took the ball to the right off tackle and Laird, Hoese, and Hughes all laid perfect blocks on their men to spring the play for 32 yards.  Third play from scrimmage?  Student body right, and Bennett goes for another 25 yards.  A fun start to be sure.  And an instant injection of credibility to all the coaching staff who kept stating how the run game would be committed to and improved.  But it wasn't the opening drive that convinced me that Horton and Brew were actually serious about this whole running the ball thing.  It was his play calling in the 2nd and 3rd quarters that had me buying that this team wasn't going to panic and drop Weber into the shotgun for the rest of the way.  He used the run to jab at MTSUs defense in the 3rd, and then had their hands on their hips for the final 15 minutes.  If there's one thing I don't mind learning from a coordinator who spent 6 years as a Badger, its how to close out football games.  And this was textbook domination of time-of-possession.

But not everything with the offense was sunshine and lollipops.  There's still plenty to work on, of course.  The passing game in the first half was rough, largely due to this year's first sighting of 'Bad Web'.  Whether it was season opener jitters or just getting into the swing of playing with live bullets, Adam Weber was off to a rough to start.  In his first throw of the game, he hung Stoudemire out to dry in the endzone on a quick slant between converging defenders.  Luckily he was bailed out by a legit defensive PI call.  From there he went 0 for 4, with accuracy being his primary issue.  Finally on his 6th pass attempt of the night he sailed a nice ball to the left over the defender and into Eric Lair's waiting hands for a 24 yard game.  Weber finally settled down in the second half and made some good throws, including a nice throw to MarQueis crossing the middle, and a beauty to McKnight on a 3rd and 12 that extended the drive (ultimately leading to the go-ahead score).  And to Weber's credit, he didn't make any major mistakes or turnovers despite MTSU's frequent blitzes.

But overall, there wasn't a whole lot to criticize the offense on.  All three RBs looked good.  Check that -Bennett was phenomenal.  He had terrific burst through the line, and great effort after contact. The frosh Kirkwood was solid, and picked his holes well.   Jon Hoese's play was inspired and it was awesome to see him score the first 3 TDs of the season, given the fact that earlier in the week his traveling with the team was in question due to his father's health.  Right tackle Ed Olson Jr's first career start should be considered a success (although he did get torched on one speed rush).  They even minimized their penalties and the few they did have weren't drive killers.

And the defense? Well if a grade had to be handed out it would probably have to be 'incomplete'.  They simply weren't even on the field long enough for us to conclude too much.  That's what happens when your offense holds the ball for 75% of the game.  From what we did see, it was clear that our young safeties are pretty inexperienced, as they struggled with coverage. The athleticism was there with Manuel and Lewis, but we could certainly stand to have Royston and Theret back soon.  The Blue Raiders ran only 40 plays, but their offense was effective at times in the no-huddle.  I was a little concerned with the lack of pressure our front 4 generated (zero sacks, and really not any hurries either).  The LBs seemed solid initially, but seemed to struggle a little bit with their play diagnosis as the game wore on.  However, in that limited sample size, the Gopher defense did manage a nice tip drill interception (Rallis) and a made a few key 3rd down stops - including a huge TFL by Jewhan Edwards to stifle the last possession by MTSU.  And those positive moments should not be discounted.

So what did we learn on Thursday night?  All kinds of things.  First and foremost I discovered that our coaching staff really does appear to be committed to the run (67 rushing attempts was convincing).  I found that all of MTSU's talk of selling out their home opener was just that, talk (sellout my ass).  I learned that Keanon Cooper has decent wheels - as he ran down RB Phillip Tanner from behind to save a TD.  I learned that Duane Bennett came to Murfreesboro TO PLAY ( and he would have had a nice receiving TD to tack on to his near 200 yds rushing, if on that shovel pass too he would have read his blocks a little quicker). I saw that Ellestad is still struggling from outside of 40 yards (but at least his problem isn't the distance).  And finally, I learned that MTSU's slightly built QB, Logan Kilgore just might have been adopted - judging by the body type of his father and maternal grandfather.

Winning on the road is winning.  Nothing negative about that at all. Still plenty of improvement out there to be made, but there was plenty to be pleased with as well.  Next week - the South Dakota Coyotes come in to The Bank.  So keep an eye on the Coyotes against Central Florida this weekend.  Next Saturday should be a perfect opportunity for the Gophs to tune up their game before USC rolls into town.

Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Geography Be Damned - The Big Ten Realigns

Photo Courtesy of www.bigtennetwork.com
Leaked earlier this morning by ESPN's Andy Katz, and confirmed later this afternoon by the Big Ten, the football realignment is in, splitting into two 6-team divisions that I've named with bad acronyms for lack of better title.

The 'MININUMMS' Division (pronounced 'min-e-numms') - Michigan, Nebraska, Iowa, Northwestern (NU), Minnesota, and Michigan State

-and-

The 'PSIPILOW' Division (pronounced 'sip-eh-low) - Penn State, Indiana, Purdue, Illinois, Ohio State, and Wisconsin

While I doubt these lame and awkward acronyms will stick (okay, admittedly they suck), but I'll run with 'em for now, since they're better than the 'Division 1' and 'Division 2' the Big Ten gave us today.  Maybe we should go with Heartland and Rustbelt Divisions?

The protected rivalry games (matchups that cross divisions but will be played every year) are as follows:

OSU - Michigan
Minnesota - Wisconsin
Northwestern - Illinois )
Michigan State - Indiana
Penn State - Nebraska
Iowa - Purdue (what the?)

I think its pretty obvious the main driver here in this alignment is that the powers that be wanted Michigan and Ohio State in separate divisions, so that the newest grand money maker of Conference Championship Games can be played (although the current Michigan team certainly doesn't seem capable of reaching this destiny in the immediate future).  Add that to the end of regular season Buckeye-Wolverine tilt, and you've got some serious TV money-makin' going on.

I also think its pretty obvious (and humorous) that Wisconsin and AD Barry Alvarez were the big losers of this realignment.  They were basically swapped out of a geographically more logical Big 10 West for Michigan, and lost their annual rivalry game with Iowa for the Heartland Trophy.  All while the Iowa-Purdue matchup was preserved (sorry, had no idea this was a rivalry - someone convince me).  And just to play in the Big Ten Championship Game, the Badgers will need to get past the Buckeyes on just about any given year.  Despite Alvarez's Cornhusker alum status, Nebraska insisted on being paired with us lowly Gophers in a division, rather than Wisconsin.

And the Gophers? Well, its hard not to paint us as big winners in this whole deal.  We kept all our important and historic rivalries (Wisconsin, Iowa, Michigan), and reinstated one from our past (Nebraska).  On a personal standpoint, I'm thrilled that we get to play Northwestern every year, as I've enjoyed going to the last several road games in Evanston, and now I can continue this every-other-year trip.

So hats off to our own AD, Joel Maturi for being able to get the Gophers in a position where we could preserve our historic rivalries, and not have to face Ohio State and Penn State each and every year.  Maybe he worked all the angles and just out politicked some of his Big Ten cohorts.  Maybe Nebraska just wanted to road trip to Minnesota to rout us and visit the MOA.  Or maybe Maturi just had pictures of Barry with that cheerleader he allegedly boffed back in the 90s.

What ever the case, things worked out well for the Maroon and Gold.  Now the next question is - what's going to happen for basketball?

Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Starting out in the Swelter: Gophers @ Middle Tennesse State Preview

Gotta say it right off the bat.  I've been a big fan of the Middle Tennessee State logo and mascot for several years now.  How would I even know or care it existed you might ask?  A fair question.  And those who know me well, know that Gopher Bandanna Guy is a major sucker for all things blue and silver.  It's a superior color combo in any setting, and frankly had there been a Big Ten school that sported these colors I might be blogging for them right now, rather than about the beloved Gophers.  Then add the lightning breath onto the Pegasus, and you've made the a top ten collegiate logo in my humble opinion. I mean look at that horse - its ready to stomp your ass and then fly off into a thunderstorm.

But enough with the flattery of our first opponent of the 2010 Golden Gopher football season.  Our beloved Maroon and Gold are headed south to Murfreesboro, TN for a Thursday night tilt (televised on ESPN U, 7:30PM EST) to kick off the season.  Anecdotally speaking, this game perhaps more than any other on the 2010 schedule seems to be the one that Gopher fans (the casual and diehard) are the most split on.  The naysayers and Brewster Bashers say this game is the harbinger of the end for the Tim Brewster era - where we'll go into a hostile southern football stadium, in stifling heat that we can't handle, and allow a Sunbelt Conference Team give our Big Ten team a dose of comeuppance.  Then there are the overtly positive fans who are already claiming victory, in the name of the quality of Big Ten football.  Have the NDSU's and Appalachian State's of the world taught us nothing?

But of course, those teams (and several others of recent upset memory) have reminded most of us college football fans that small conference and even inferior division teams can occasionally rise up and knock off a BCS conference opponent, their own conference strength be damned.  The Blue Raiders dominated most of their opponents in the Sun Belt last year (7-1 in conference), were beat down by Clemson and Mississippi State, and beat a weak Memphis team at home and an equally hapless Maryland on the road. The Gophers and MTSU had no common opponents in 2009, but Maryland (who MTSU beat on a last second field goal) was removed by 1 degree of separation (Maryland was plowed under by Cal, 52-13 in their 2009 opener).  What's that all mean?  Most likely nothing.  The Gopher team that hung with Cal for 3 quarters is not this year's 2010 team, nor is the Blue Raider squad, who had dynamic QB Dwight Dasher racking up yardage on the 'Terps.

One year later, and Dwight Dasher is still the QB for MTSU.  Problem is he's been suspended by the NCAA, apparently for a $1,500 loan he got to play poker with.  There's more details to this story, but what matters is that MTSU is without their senior dual-threat QB.  That fact alone cause Vegas to move the line on this game substantially, pushing the Gophs from road dog to slight road favorites.  Obviously the oddsmakers think highly of Dasher.

At this point it appears highly likely that this suspension will stand, and the Gopher defense will not have to face the Sun Belt Conference's Preseason Offensive Player of the Year.  Good for us.  Bad for the Murfreesboro Faithful.  But there are 20 other Blue Raiders too line up against and a JUCO backup QB in Logan Kilgore.  Apparently the sophomore Kilgore is getting the start over his upperclassman teammate Jeff Murphy, because he's gotten in more practice this preseason.

FBT (Fringe Bowl Team) did a nice initial eval of MTSU back in July, when Dasher was still expected to be the starting QB, and (I believe) accurately portrayed the Blue Raiders as a Northwestern-lite, as a team that runs the spread, and relies on their QB grabbing yards when the pocket breaks down.  With Kilgore at the helm its uncertain what we'll get, but we all know a quarterback doesn't need to be particularly fast to stack up yards on our defense historically, just somewhat elusive (Mike Kafka anybody?).  The buzz from some Blue Raiders fans is that he has been quite accurate in practices, but he's not the runner Dasher is.

So who steps up for MTSU on offense, if Kilgore is ineffective?  An experienced, smallish offensive line (both OTs on the depth chart listed at less than 275 lbs) and 3 talented running backs - Phillip Tanner, Ben Cunningham, and D.D. Kyles who are expected to share carries this season.  The matchup I'm most interested in watching this Thursday is going to be our less experienced front four matchup with this O-line.  Dominate up front and make Kilgore uncomfortable and we win this game.  I'm also curious to see if Cosgrove will keep it simple for this first game, or if he'll pick up where he left off last year, incorporating blitzes from all over the field.

When the Gophers have the ball, the MTSU defense is small, quick, and senior-laden.  For Weber and Co. to put the ball into the endzone, its going to take some consistent sustained drives, as I don't think we'll see a lot of big plays and broken coverage handed to us from this experienced defense.  We've heard all spring and summer camp that the Gophs are rededicated to running the ball.  And although, I believe they are under Horton, it may be frustrating to watch several drives grind to a halt early in the game because we're establishing the run, and predictably rushing the ball on 1st and 2nd downs. Patience is key - something Fisch did not have last year with the run, and I think Horton will display.

Ok - enough babbling and regurgitating what others have already written. Like last year, I'll provide my weekly prediction and players of the game for both teams.  This MTSU road game feels awfully like the Syracuse game last season to me (but without climate control and the Eric Decker and Mike Williams NFL-preview show).  Very winnable for Minnesota, but it will be nail-bitingly close, thanks to some stalled drives due to our commitment to run early, and some 2nd half brain cramps on defense.  Weber start out his senior season well, and look real sharp on some drives and make us feel good about having him under center for one more year.

Prediction: Minnesota 24, Middle Tennessee State 20

Gopher Player of the Game: Adam Weber - 14 for 20 for 195 yards and 2 TDs
Blue Raider Player of the Game: Phillip Tanner - 16 carries for 95 yards and 1 TD

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Coach Brew - Boosting My Confidence Through Tremendous Surliness

I'm not sure if any of you have managed to make your way on over to the excellent Gopher Football blog 'Fringe Bowl Team', but if not, you're really missing out.  It's really the blog I wish this one could become, if I lived near campus and didn't have 2 little kids, a 50 hour a week job, and too many other sports interests to divert my attention.  But I digress - MV does a phenomenal job there and has daily updates on recruiting, training camp, and recently he's been catching video of post practice interviews with players and coaches. In particular, an interview with Coach Brew posted earlier this week (8/23) was a real gem.  And while I realize this was a topic batted about on Gopherhole the other day, I can't help but further reflect here.

First off, take the 10 minutes and watch it.  You'll be entertained by a Coach Brewster that maybe you haven't seen much of in the past.  This Brew is downright curmudgeonly with the media, and I like it.  I kinda wish he was like this all the time.

Or if you don't have the 10 minutes, zip ahead to 5:05 and listen to the question Brew receives about linebacker, Keenan Cooper.  His initial response is to incredulously repeat back the 8th grade level question, and then mid-way thru, shrug his shoulders and just go with it.  Then he looks at the camera and states that he wonders how much the interviewers think about the questions their asking, only to have the dolt (presumably Marcus Fuller) try and make the excuse that he 'just came from basketball practice and is, spaced out'.  Love it.

Shortly after, Brew gets snappy with Phil Miller (who's been more of a friend to the program than most writers in town).  Again, this exchange just brings a smile to my face.  And more importantly, it makes me feel more confident about this team's direction.

Why?  To me, Coach Brewster appears to be a guy on a mission, and he just wants to start playing football (he states as much later in the interview).  He's taken some lumps in the media for a good while, and he's no doubt fed up, and ready to lash out a bit.  And there's almost a hint of confidence (or even arrogance) in his demeanor that makes me think he knows something the rest of the Big Ten doesn't, and he can't wait to unleash it on them.  Maybe I'm just being my usual overly optimistic self, but I have a feeling in the pit of my stomach that might be the case.

What or who might be unleashed, I'm not sure - Is it MarQueis at WR (who Dave Mona proclaimed would be 1st Team All-Big Ten - talk about bold)?  Is it Donnell Kirkwood at RB, who's turned a lot of heads in this preseason?  Or is it scheme, in the form of Horton's simplified offense?

Maybe all - maybe none. Either way, go get 'em Coach Brew, and GO GOPHERS!

Saturday, August 21, 2010

Calling our shots - 2010 Gopher Football Predictions

Are there more than 2 wins on this 2010 schedule?  Can we finish 'bowl eligible'?  Rose Bowl or bust for Pasadena Brew? These are the burning questions of this upcoming Golden Gopher football season. We've had all summer to mull over the Gophs list of opponents (not that we needed it), and here's what our brain trust came up with:

The breakdown of each set of predictions has some interesting wins/losses - here's the brief rationale:
  • Omar likes us breaking out to a nice 3-1 start, and carrying that momentum into our Big Ten opener vs. Northwestern, and finds us road wins at Purdue and Illinois.
  • JJ and KZ don't like our season opener on the road at MTSU, and both like the upset at Wisconsin (which I just don't see happening this year).  They differ only on where we'll get a road win in Weeks 10 and 11.
  • Gopher Bandanna Guy calls for the upset of USC, followed by a letdown loss to NIU, and a rebound victory vs. Northwestern.  Then a 6 game losing streak is ended with the team rallying around the seemingly dead man walking, Coach Brew - taking down Illinois in Champaign and then shocking an over-confident Iowa squad to save his job a la Wayne Fontes.
  • 2Mutch is the self-proclaimed 'Debbie Downer' of the group, giving the Gophs a more tempered 4-8 record, and basically has us winning only games where there's a chance of being favored in the line.
  • NG also likes us to ruin Wisconsin's season by knocking them off in Camp Randall, and taking down Iowa at home.  Brew gets himself a couple of trinkets under this scenario, and that would certainly bode well for coaching Minnesota into his 5th year.
So what's it all mean?  Probably nothing more than confirming that all of us are crazy dreamers and/or hopeful optimists when it comes to Golden Gopher Football.  Virtually every publication and website prediction I've come across has us between 1 and 4 wins, and in last place.  The experts are expecting grim results.

Bodog.com has us as 50/1 odds to win the conference (worst odds in the conference, behind Indiana at 40/1).  Any Hoosier fans out there want to wager (beer?) that we'll finish above them in the standings?  Ok, maybe that's a bad idea. Our schedule is tougher, but we've got something going for us more than anybody else in the Big Ten - no one expects ANYTHING from the Gophers, and guess what?  There is some burgeoning talent on this team that will surpise some teams that don't scout closesly.  Underestimate the Gophers at your peril! (hey, if loyal members of Gopher Nation can't stay positive, who can?)

Here's some predictions on Minnesota's individual players -
GBG likes:
Offensive Player of the Year: Da'Jon McKnight, WR (680 yrd, 9 TDs)
Defensive Player of the Year: Keanon Cooper, LB  (65 tackles, 2 INTs, 4 FF)
Leading Rusher: D'uane Bennett (720 yds)
Leading Receiver: Da'Jon McKnight (680 yds)
Leading Tackler: Mike Rallis, LB (85 tackles)
Sack Leader: Ra'Shede Hegeman (8 sacks)
INT Leader: Michael Carter (4 INTs)

2Mutch likes:
Offensive Player of the Year: Adam Weber (in a nice bounceback season)
Defensive Player of the Year: Kim Royston (back from injury and a force)

And finally, Just Jake likes Brandon Kirksey to have a monster junior year at DT, big enough that he bolts for the NFL draft a year early.  Wow.  Now that's a bold prediction.

Saturday, August 14, 2010

What's on tap for Give 'Em Hell Goldy?



Thanks to a spring and summer filled with a hectic work travel schedule, playoff Bucks basketball, MLB road trippin', and slow-pitch softball - this blog all but died over the warmer months.  But so what?  We didn't have that many readers anyways.

But what'd we miss?  All kinds of stuff.  The Gopher Baseball team won the Big Team Championship (outstanding),  Kyle Theret and Gary Tinsley got themselves suspended, Nebraska joined the Big Ten, and Royce White bolted for Iowa State, among other things.  

But with Gopher football on the horizon and hoops not far behind, there is now motivation to get back into the swing of posting more regularly.  So what's on tap here?  Again, all kinds of stuff.

We'll be putting together a set of Big Ten Football predictions, a quick look at some of the new faces we'll see on the gridiron this Fall, resuming the weekly Game Preview and 'What we learned' cycle, and more entries to 'Gopher Profiles in Courage'.  Gopher Bandanna Guy will be attending plenty of football games again this year, so expect more original photos and perhaps even some video footage.    

 So check in regularly, as we'll be attempting to pour on the content.

Sunday, August 8, 2010

Looks like EA nailed it - The Bank immortalized in video gamedom

With the release of EA Sports NCAA Football 2011 a few weeks ago, The Bank is now officially part of the video game universe.  'Bout time.   



The game developers missed the deadline for last years 2010 game, and so its been finally included in this years edition.  Judging by the video though, it was worth the wait - they nailed it.  My only complaint is that it looks like they missed our Big Ten Titles and National Championships displayed proudly on the facade in front of the bottom of the upper deck.  In some ways this video game version is better though, as it is advertisement free.  Not a TCF, Arby's, Cenex, or Coca-Cola logo to be seen.  In other words, its the stadium as I wish it would have been.  Not that I'm complaining about the real stadium.  Corporate advertising aside, its nearly perfect in my biased opinion.

For you schlubs who haven't been to the new digs yet, here's a photo for comparison.

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Yeah, well, that's like, your opinion, man - Surviving White Hot Hawkeye Hate.

Feeling masochistic?  Then check out the latest from 'The Rivalry, Esq'.  Deep breath Gopher friends.


Ugh, pretty rough, huh?  This guy takes some potshots, speaks some truth (admittedly), and generally does his best to put thumbtacks in the shoes of Gopher fans everywhere.  My hat is off to him.  The piece is well done.  This truly is hate-speech at its finest.  I wonder where the venom glands reside in this Squawkeye's body.

I do take issue with the notion that he feels like the rivalry Minnesota has with the Hawkeyes and Badgers no longer exists, simply because we've been down in football.  Both rivalries (and they are indeed just that) have ebbed and flowed with one side dominating the other for stretches.  Yes the last 3 decades have been brutal for us, but then the 70s and 60s were downright awful for Iowa.  And so it goes.

I did enjoy that the best he could come up with about our basketball program was suggesting that we'll soon be paying attention to "whoever replaces Tubby Smith", a notion that seems to be less and less likely with each growing day, particularly with the stellar recruiting class coming in once again (and just wait until Cory Joseph and Mo Walker commit)

Deal with it Hawkeyes - Tubby likes Minneapolis and will be wearing Maroon and Gold ties for a while, to dominate your pathetic group of talentless roundballers. I know, I know, this is the part where Hawkeye fans pretend they don't really care about basketball, and only football is important.  Don't worry.  You don't have to pretend - we saw your attendance last year.  Even if the seats were paid for - you weren't showing up.  You can enjoy our follies on the gridiron.  We'll enjoy yours on the hardwood. You like Mason/Brewster and their bumbling ways - we enjoyed Alford's dirtbaggishness and Lickliter's in-over-his-headedness'.  Its all good.  Fair enough?

At least during the football offseason, you Squawkeye fans can enjoy some of that 'Broadway quality theatre in Des Moines' one of your bretheren has raved about.

Thursday, April 1, 2010

Finally some news that will make us smile.


Suck it Souhan.

Screw you Dennis Dodd.

Put away your wallet Phil Knight.

The Associated Press reports that Tubby is working on a contract extension, and NOT looking for a new job.

Forgive me if I find the AP slightly more credible than a blogger from CBS Sportsline, and a 'columnist' who takes pot shots at bald first year coaches of Sweet 16 teams, while being a bald-o himself (see his latest idiotic quip about Tubby here).

If you don't believe that, then go straight to the top for an answer.  I know, I know, he's just delivering the company line here.  Still he seems pretty damn sincere to me.  I'm putting my trust in Tubby to not let us down.  Of course, perhaps Phil Knight is loading up a second dump truck with money right now... sigh.  Everyone, EVERYONE has a price.

Its time to make my April, Mr. Orlando Smith.  Re-up for another 6 years, and get Cory Joseph to commit.